Showing posts with label jobs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label jobs. Show all posts

Thursday, February 4, 2010

Where are All the Jobs?

Obama's State of the Union Address was about many things, but one subject dominated: Jobs. His stimulus package, featuring job-creating projects, is already facing hurdles in the Senate, due to a new concern about deficit spending. If only lawmakers had thought of this when they passed, like greased lightning, the bank bailout bill. Maybe fewer of us would be out of work now, especially if that $700 billion had been earmarked for job creation!

A problem exists, however, in that well-paying jobs are scarcer than hen's teeth these days. One of the few in that category, the autoworker, has certainly seen his/her fortunes plummet with the problems suffered by the auto industry. Manufacturing used to be a fairly secure job sector, with good benefits and hourly wages. According to an article published last September by Leo Hindery Jr., Leo Gerard and Donald Riegle, Jr., those jobs paid 15% more, on average, than non-manufacturing positions in 2008. Additionally, manufacturing jobs induce a radiating effect, creating other supporting positions as well as additional spending for every dollar invested. These authors were encouraging the inclusion of "Buy American" language in the economic stimulus package.

The question is, where are all these manufacturing jobs? Surely, not in this country. Starting in the 1970s and encouraged by the Nixon administration, businesses began shipping their production overseas to poorer, "developing" countries in order avoid unions, environmental restrictions and other curbs on their pursuit of the almighty dollar. When I was a youngster living in eastern Massachusetts, I would go job-hunting at any number of factories on Friday and have a new job for Monday. These weren't high-paying jobs, but they paid the bills and if you lost that one, there was another to be had in short order. It's been a long time since job hunting was that easy.

What is the result of this capital flight? Increased profits for corporations, certainly, though how much profit is enough has never been clearly defined. For workers, it has spawned a generation of college graduates flipping burgers, and non-college graduates spending a lot of time in the unemployment line. At this point in time, unemployment is the highest it has been in 30 years, and more people are staying unemployed longer.

Can Obama turn this around? I can't see how. An AP article by Mae Anderson from October 13, 2009 stated that 80% of economists queried said that the recession was over and the recovery had begun. Well, nearly four months later, it is obvious that they were wrong. Hmmm, I wonder how many economists are are now standing in unemployment lines?

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

No More Recession, Just a "Slow Recovery"

I saw a news blurb a couple of weeks ago in which "analysts" stated that the recession is over. Well, that's comforting, isn't it? It's also really nice to know that economic analysts, at least, don't have to worry about losing their jobs, since they seem to be in higher demand during down times than when the economy is humming along at full steam.

For the rest of us who live in the real world, though, the recession is still here. The only thing that seems to have changed is that economists are now calling it a "slow recovery" rather than what it really is. A report released last week by the New England Economic Partnership tries to be upbeat, but paints a picture of lingering economic doldrums, particularly for the New England states. Maine and New Hampshire seem to be faring the best, but will still experience sluggishness for at least another year. Vermont and Massachusetts' economies will supposedly "bottom out" this quarter, with slow improvement over the next year. Connecticut is facing problems until 2013, and Rhode Islands' economy is so bad that the report did not even offer a projection for recovery.

An Associated Press article by Judy Lin delivers even more good news. She cites a study by the Pew Center that declares 10 states on the verge of economic disaster. Not surprisingly, Rhode Island is one of them. The others are California, Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Michigan, Nevada, New Jersey, Oregon and Wisconsin. These 10 states represent more than one-third of the nation's economic output. Goodness! Imagine if the recession wasn't over, the mess we'd be in!

So, the next time you are feeling down because of the Great Recession, just remember that those who really know what's going on have declared it "over". And if you live in New England and have lost one of the nearly 400,000 jobs that have disappeared in our region since early 2008, take heart. You can always retrain to become an economist.